Market Commentaries

  • Stocks Give Back Gains Following FOMC Announcement


    Market Overview


    Sources: Equity Market, Fixed Income and REIT returns from JP Morgan as of 04/29/16. Rates and Economic Calendar Data from Bloomberg as of 05/02/16.

    Happening Now                   

    Stocks took a step back last week on the back of the Federal Reserve’s April 27 rate decision and statement release. U.S. companies* declined 1.2%, developed international stocks* dropped 0.4% and emerging market equities* gave back 0.6%. This is the second consecutive week of relative out- performance by developed international stocks – a trend we expect to continue as we move forward in 2016.

    This past Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced they were leaving the Federal Funds Target Rate unchanged and simultaneously released their third policy statement of 2016. With the promise of forward guidance, market participants analyze every word of the FOMC press release and found that concerns over “global economic and financial developments” were not explicitly mentioned. These concerns were a highlight of the January and March release and partly reflected the turmoil in global equity markets that greeted investors at the start of this year. Now that markets have calmed and concerns have subsided, an additional rate hike at the next meeting in June seems all the more likely. The prospect of tighter monetary policy has recently led to short term sell-offs in equity markets but should, over time, be viewed as a vote of confidence in the U.S. economy and supportive of higher stock prices.

    The uncertainty surrounding central bank policies across the globe should not be overlooked by investors. Portfolios designed as recently as a few years ago likely did not take into consideration the prospects of diverging monetary policies and negative interest rates. We encourage investors to take a more active approach in analyzing their investment strategies and suggest that individuals seek the guidance of a professional when making buy, sell or hold decisions. To request a complimentary review on your existing portfolio, please do not hesitate to contact your Hennion & Walsh Financial Advisor or a member of the Hennion & Walsh Asset Management Team.

    *U.S. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index. Developed Markets are represented by the MSCI EAFE Index. Emerging Markets are represented by the MSCI EM Index. All indexes are measured on a total return basis.

    Important Information and Disclaimers

    Disclosures: Past performance does not guarantee future results. We have taken this information from sources that we believe to be reliable and accurate. Hennion & Walsh cannot guarantee the accuracy of said information and cannot be held liable. This information is provided for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation to buy or sell any of the asset classes or sectors discussed.

    Investing in foreign securities presents certain risks not associated with domestic investments, such as currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, and different accounting standards. This may result in greater share price volatility. These risks are heightened in emerging markets.

    There are special risks associated with an investment in real estate, including credit risk, interest rate fluctuations and the impact of varied economic conditions. Distributions from REIT investments are taxed at the owner’s tax bracket.

    The prices of small company and mid cap stocks are generally more volatile than large company stocks. They often involve higher risks because smaller companies may lack the management expertise, financial resources, product diversification and competitive strengths to endure adverse economic conditions.

    Investing in commodities is not suitable for all investors. Exposure to the commodities markets may subject an investment to greater share price volatility than an investment in traditional equity or debt securities. Investments in commodities may be affected by changes in overall market movements, commodity index volatility, changes in interest rates or factors affecting a particular industry or commodity.

    Products that invest in commodities may employ more complex strategies which may expose investors to additional risks.

    Investing in fixed income securities involves certain risks such as market risk if sold prior to maturity and credit risk especially if investing in high yield bonds, which have lower ratings and are subject to greater volatility. All fixed income investments may be worth less than original cost upon redemption or maturity. Bond Prices fluctuate inversely to changes in interest rates. Therefore, a general rise in interest rates can result in the decline of the value of your investment.


    MSCI- EAFE: The Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, Australasia and Far East Index, a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed-market equity performance, excluding the United States and Canada.

    MSCI-Emerging Markets: The Morgan Stanley Capital International Emerging Market Index, is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the performance of global emerging markets of about 25 emerging economies.

    Russell 3000: The Russell 3000 measures the performance of the 3000 largest US companies based on total market capitalization and represents about 98% of the investible US Equity market.

    ML BOFA US Corp Mstr [Merill Lynch US Corporate Master]: The Merrill Lynch Corporate Master Market Index is a statistical composite tracking the performance of the entire US corporate bond market over time.

    ML Muni Master [Merill Lynch US Corporate Master]: The Merrill Lynch Municipal Bond Master Index is a broad measure of the municipal fixed income market.

    Investors cannot directly purchase any index.

    LIBOR, London Interbank Offered Rate, is the rate of interest at which banks offer to lend money to one another in the wholesale money markets in London.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unweighted index of 30 “blue-chip” industrial U.S. stocks.

    The S&P Midcap 400 Index is a capitalization-weighted index measuring the performance of the mid-range sector of the U.S. stock market, and represents approximately 7% of the total market value of U.S. equities. Companies in the Index fall between S&P 500 Index and the S&P SmallCap 600 Index in size: between $1-4 billion.

    DJ Equity REIT Index represents all publicly traded real estate investment trusts in the Dow Jones U.S. stock universe classified as Equity REITs according to the S&P Dow Jones Indices REIT Industry Classification Hierarchy. These companies are REITSs that primarily own and operate income-producing real estate.

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